machine-learning

Higher Order Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation

Zeyi Wang and Mark van der Laan / 2021-03-10

Summary We propose a higher order targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE) that only relies on a sequentially and recursively defined set of data-adaptive fluctuations. Without the need to assume the often too stringent higher order pathwise differentiability, the method is practical for…

machine-learning

Machine learning for causal inference that works

Richard Hahn / 2021-01-26

I’ve kindly been invited to share a few words about a recent paper my colleagues and I published in Bayesian Analysis: “Bayesian Regression Tree Models for Causal Inference: Regularization, Confounding, and Heterogeneous Effects”. In that paper, we motivate and describe a method that we call…

topological-data-analysis

Ensemble Forecasting of the Zika Space-Time Spread with Topological Data Analysis

Marwah Soliman, Vyacheslav Lyubchich and Yulia R. Gel / 2020-10-22

As per the records of the World Health Organization, the first formally reported incidence of Zika virus occurred in Brazil in May 2015. The disease then rapidly spread to other countries in Americas and East Asia, affecting more than 1,000,000 people. Zika virus is primarily transmitted through…